The futures price of Pi Network in Pakistan is currently quoted at $0.09 per coin. Its fluctuations are driven by multiple factors, and the price amplitude in the second quarter of 2025 is as high as 35%. At the macroeconomic level, the country’s annual inflation rate of 38% forces the public to seek alternative assets. 30% of young investors allocate 5% of their monthly income to Pi, boosting demand density. However, the annual depreciation of the rupee by 15% simultaneously reduces the pricing space of the US dollar. Industry analysis shows that over-the-counter (OTC) transactions account for 90% of the local circulation volume, with commission rates concentrated between 10% and 25%. For instance, a certain platform in Karachi matched transactions through WhatsApp groups, with a peak daily traffic volume of 20,000. However, the new anti-money laundering regulations of the central bank in 2024 have sharply increased compliance costs by 30%. Directly suppress the premium range of pi price in pakistan.
Regulatory policies are the core variables. In 2024, the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) placed PIs on the “High-Risk Watch List”, compelling OTC traders to apply for crypto licenses worth $500,000. The compliance barrier eliminated 60% of small-scale traders. The case includes the FIA’s raid on an illegal OTC site in Lahra in March 2025, confiscating Pi tokens worth 120,000 US dollars, which led to a regional supply shortage and a short-term 18% price surge. But the positive signal comes from technical cooperation – the Sindh Blockchain Association and the Pi Core Team are testing local nodes, aiming to reduce the transaction verification speed from 5 seconds to 3 seconds. If successfully implemented, it can improve liquidity efficiency by 40%.
Global technological progress directly affects expectations. The probability of Pi mainnet delay is 40% (based on the statistics of the development cycle from 2020 to 2025). For every additional month of delay, the loss rate of Pakistani holders increases by 2.8%. Reference historical cases: In 2023, the delay in the mainnet launch of Chia Network led to a 68% price crash, while in the Solana ecosystem, the price increased by 85% after the Firedancer upgrade in 2024. The current daily transaction volume of the Pi testnet is only 500,000 transactions, less than 1% of Ethereum. If the mainnet fails to achieve the promised 100,000 TPS (processing per second), market confidence may collapse. Derivative models predict that the pi price in pakistan may fall to the support level of $0.03.
The supply and demand structure in the market is significantly unbalanced. Although there are 1.2 million active miners in Pakistan, the actual circulation volume is only 0.3% of the estimated total (about 40 million), and 70% of them are concentrated in the Karachi – Lahore trading cluster, with a regional price spread amplitude of 25%. Social surveys show that 55% of holders expect the price to break through $0.5 after the mainnet goes live, but the risk control model warns that if the mainnet is delayed for more than 18 months, the selling pressure will trigger a 65% decline. It is recommended that investors adopt the “3% asset cap” strategy and give priority to the 8 FIA-certified platforms (such as CoinSwitch PK), whose dispute rate is only 0.7%, far lower than the 35% of private channels.
